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Monthly Letter — January 31, 2026

January 2026

The strategy returned +5.48% net in January with zero drawdown while Bitcoin declined 22% peak-to-trough.

Reporting Period: January 5 — January 29, 2026

January opened the year with one of the most active operating environments in the strategy's history. Bitcoin declined 22.3% peak-to-trough during the month — from approximately $97,800 to $76,000 — while perpetual futures markets processed over $1 billion in liquidations on a single day. The strategy returned +5.48% net with zero drawdown.

+5.48%
Net Return
0.00%
Max Drawdown
21 / 21
Positive Days

01 / Performance

The strategy returned +5.48% net in January across 21 active trading days. Every trading day closed positive. Returns were distributed throughout the month, with January 15 contributing a notable share during a broad dislocation event across perpetual futures. Outside of that day, daily contributions were consistent and contained.

All returns are reported net of commissions and funding costs.

02 / Market Structure

January's derivatives landscape was defined by extreme leverage and its consequences. Perpetual futures trading now represents approximately 77% of total crypto trading volume — a 3.4-to-1 ratio over spot — and the concentration of leveraged positioning in January created sustained dislocation conditions across the venue set.

The most significant single event occurred on January 20, when over 182,000 traders had leveraged positions forcibly closed within a 24-hour window. Total liquidations exceeded $1.08 billion, with long positions accounting for nearly all of the damage.

Institutional flows provided additional backdrop: spot Bitcoin ETFs posted -$1.61 billion in net outflows for the month, while the FOMC held rates at 3.5%–3.75% at its January 27–28 meeting. The neutral-to-dovish tone removed immediate downside catalysts but offered no support, leaving derivatives positioning as the dominant market-moving force.

Broader market direction — Bitcoin's 10.57% close-to-close decline — was not a meaningful factor in the strategy's performance. The system's returns were generated independently of spot market trajectory.

03 / Risk & Execution

Maximum drawdown was zero — no peak-to-trough decline was recorded on the cumulative equity curve at any point during the period. Leverage remained conservative throughout. Risk gating and exposure controls operated within expected parameters.

The system remained fully systematic with no discretionary overrides.

04 / Closing

January demonstrated the consistency of the strategy's return profile when conditions align with its design parameters. While Bitcoin suffered its steepest monthly decline since the onset of the current cycle, the structural dynamics of crypto perpetual futures markets produced one of the richest operating environments in the strategy's history. The system continues to operate within all defined parameters.

Returns shown net of commissions and funding costs. Performance metrics derived from exchange-level execution data. This letter is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer, solicitation, or investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Issued by Highstake LLC

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